BRcal: An R package to Boldness-Recalibrate Probability Predictions.
Guthrie, Adeline P., and Christopher T. Franck. (2025). "BRcal: An R package to Boldness-Recalibrate Probability Predictions." arXiv preprint.
Curriculum Vitae
Education
- Ph.D. in Statistics, Virginia Tech, May 2025
- Advisor: Dr. Christopher T. Franck
- Dissertation: Boldness-Recalibration for Binary Event Predictions
- M.S. in Statistics, Virginia Tech, May 2021
- B.S. in Mathematics, Millersville University, May 2019
- Concentrations: Statistics, Actuarial Science
- Minor: Computer Science
Selected Consulting and Prior Work Experience
Lead Statistical Collaborator, Statistical Applications and Innovations Group (SAIG) (Spring 2020, Spring 2021 - Fall 2023). Provided statistical consultation, including study design, data analysis, proposal and publication preparation, and code to faculty and graduate student researchers and industry professionals, from many fields. Long-term projects and/or funded projects:
Factors Associated with Behavioral Euthanasia in Pet Dogs (06/2022 - Present). See corresponding publication. Subsequent publication(s) to follow.
Perceptions of US Swine Industry Castration Practice (10/2022 - 12/2023). See corresponding publication.
VA811 Predictive Modeling Testing (01/2022 - 09/2022). Tested and documented a predictive modeling pipeline for identifying problematic user-submitted tickets to be audited. Funded by VA811.
Perception of Drone Delivery in the US (01/2021 - 04/2021, 05/2022 - 09/2022). Identified noise as a key component of negative sentiment towards Wing delivery drones from survey data, which drove the decision to develop quieter propulsion systems. Project was part of the Virginia Tech Mid-Atlantic Aviation Partnership (MAAP) under the Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) Integration Pilot Program. See corresponding publication.
Data Science Intern, Socially Determined (Summer 2023). Delivered key insights regarding data quality and relationship between social determinants of health and predicted health outcomes via clustering, principal components analysis (PCA), and other statistical analyses. Presented findings to Data Science team and Chief Analytics Officer on a weekly basis.
Applied Statistics Intern, Eastman Chemical Company (Summer 2020). Provided statistical consultation to chemists and engineers to identify problems and solutions for decision makers in product manufacturing. Presented key findings to all Data Science divisions.
Publications
Boldness-Recalibration for Binary Event Predictions
Guthrie, Adeline P., and Christopher T. Franck. (2024). "Boldness-Recalibration for Binary Event Predictions." The American Statistician, 1-17.
Factors Associated with Behavioral Euthanasia in Pet Dogs
Hitchcock, Miranda, Miranda K. Workman, Audrey Ruple, Adeline P. Guthrie, and Erica N. Feuerbacher. (2024). "Factors Associated with Behavioral Euthanasia in Pet Dogs." Frontiers in Veterinary Science, Vol 11.
Public and industry knowledge and perceptions of US swine industry castration practices
Neary, Jessica M., Adeline P. Guthrie, and Leonie Jacobs (2023). "Public and industry knowledge and perceptions of US swine industry castration practices." Animal Welfare, 32, e79.
When the Drone is in Your Backyard
Nelsen, Eleanor, Adeline Guthrie, and Lee Vinsel. "When the Drone is in Your Backyard." Issues in Science and Technology 37, no. 3 (Spring 2021), 29-31